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Frozen pre-match forecast · #70326

Askøy VS Brann II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.29%
Draw
21.12%
Away
26.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.8569
Log loss
1.3246

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
83d33057220dbb2608465e0871181b33d209241e294ac8d8e163828e66f3447b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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