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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7031

Universitario de Vinto VS Guabirá

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:42 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.30%
Draw
33.71%
Away
38.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7942
Log loss
1.2983

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:42 UTC
SHA-256
2f827fdd2ce7436eb1b99ebdb42b03b12b678ac1ac579610a99bef6ff2a73b78

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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