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Frozen pre-match forecast · #70236

Ústí nad Labem II VS Újezd Praha 4

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.86%
Draw
19.73%
Away
59.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0407
Log loss
1.6229

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
481b9e67f9dff0338acfb35047e618ee7ba7a3de0a6b9eaffceb6656c3edbc2f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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