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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69996

Burreli VS Eagle FA

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.85%
Draw
19.78%
Away
17.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1169
Log loss
1.7504

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 02:00 UTC
SHA-256
b0ae04b9ad1cfc10c8881c072a7dd0ba7f775b20e2f40e9d7b3e1de399118efc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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