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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69945

Vitesse VS ASFA-Yennenga

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.35%
Draw
30.98%
Away
24.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4665
Log loss
0.8131

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 02:00 UTC
SHA-256
59792bdb3fa468e0ec0a92fc7a8c1f80af740d63f58831a6576d49d7e6899af9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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