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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69835

Moneyfields VS Wimborne Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.48%
Draw
24.22%
Away
51.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3558
Log loss
0.6675

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
a0161c24aaf5687e5484e2f8edf1dece3605face59043d41a37f43ab796caa05

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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