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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69813

Dumbarton VS Banks O' Dee

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.97%
Draw
19.90%
Away
23.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2783
Log loss
0.5626

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
61baead4cdff3cf76aba421931a0e64f38d49737648db5411c91d99e5f38be11

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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