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Frozen pre-match forecast · #6978

Boreham Wood VS Kidderminster Harriers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:42 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.97%
Draw
34.06%
Away
34.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7148
Log loss
1.1722

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:42 UTC
SHA-256
1f03b472c856fe7cc30c24e8fd89c126d4c0572f75e6ec797c53cfdd38ce60c0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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