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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69751

Skedsmo VS Ulfstind

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
86.50%
Draw
8.88%
Away
4.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0282
Log loss
0.1450

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
8d3a5e9e450f7bab91ee6ba0885151b58621315b0f50302bf0dfcfed92bd8a73

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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