Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #69674

Cork City VS Finn Harps

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
86.54%
Draw
9.78%
Away
3.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0290
Log loss
0.1446

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
SHA-256
32e6fd40574d769ff5958551c6a56f41909b8599d9733a7b6a9827a89624ac9d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →