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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69663

Union Brescia VS PRO Vercelli

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.14%
Draw
24.46%
Away
16.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2537
Log loss
0.5253

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
SHA-256
417551486e85ef3897be981a16dee9328b72a6dc61a079dd7d12a45a1100fc13

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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