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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69571

Weiz VS Allerheiligen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.55%
Draw
20.65%
Away
23.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2969
Log loss
0.5880

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
ce7ae79200a39eb2b1f96e8668dfa16ff90e8bbb69acc31b098a51032fe983a7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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