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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69517

JäPS VS JIPPO

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.00%
Draw
26.19%
Away
48.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.3931
Log loss
0.7172

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
SHA-256
b11f68ca74e2252e1d2f58a0bd60a8dfa973933508f5ffcb9e115bfbc1af28a4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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