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Frozen pre-match forecast · #6946

Charlton Athletic U21 VS Millwall U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:41 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.17%
Draw
32.25%
Away
16.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3699
Log loss
0.6700

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:41 UTC
SHA-256
c4190419c321287929f12435ee2ce9ea5b1709d7a3bdc2bd73efe87f0ee89c43

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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