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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69414

RC Kouba VS WA Tlemcen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.55%
Draw
21.08%
Away
9.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1460
Log loss
0.3632

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
SHA-256
ce7b1b4f004df658fb0b601d8ed85fb3d407a7f52050b14ef9b2579509be44c9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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