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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69372

FC Bacău II VS CSM FC Vaslui

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.84%
Draw
24.65%
Away
44.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4639
Log loss
0.8096

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
SHA-256
932e68165e88924b5c5fa67d13f254d887f3236d02107892718c268706a69661

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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