Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #69166

RC Kouba VS WA Tlemcen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.10%
Draw
23.50%
Away
11.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1900
Log loss
0.4292

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
db08a41429d45bc31f581f8be74d91a659be734eee71f93d289cde3580e28d1b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →