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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69122

Blooming VS Independiente Petrolero

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.42%
Draw
20.62%
Away
21.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9814
Log loss
1.5163

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
9934b60ac138a5191a5ad9ed6942604c1eb886f518ab8f7d183a3ccb18f79e20

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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