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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69048

Abahani VS Chattogram

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
76.86%
Draw
15.09%
Away
8.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.3182
Log loss
1.8911

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
21ba9e90718b852e850ea7025ea6fc2960a432fcd1119f2d96b2575bdce2580b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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