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Frozen pre-match forecast · #68990

Dubai United VS Hatta SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 13:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.33%
Draw
23.59%
Away
37.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5612
Log loss
0.9332

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
d6dff3457d38ac345cbea8c66b9e09fc039cf21c4191d07cc645e35e86e65b30

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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