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Frozen pre-match forecast · #6894

Hapoel Kfar Shalem VS Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:41 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.63%
Draw
32.35%
Away
26.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5131
Log loss
0.8763

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:41 UTC
SHA-256
3854a286c3ee4112f16612297ebfb5bf55a782f09acc7def8dfcf74a30b1e0b7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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