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Frozen pre-match forecast · #6874

Tensung VS RTC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:41 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
5.14%
Draw
32.33%
Away
62.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.2476
Log loss
0.4695

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:41 UTC
SHA-256
7adbdbc85b85c31a6ca8a0e0ef8b3f3fce18bbb3c49b6c945ff0689a28858fb1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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