Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #68710

America Mineiro VS Juventude

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 22:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.28%
Draw
28.31%
Away
42.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4975
Log loss
0.8578

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
dcda1fa59695f67ad951777a9189c7ce0034f748526d05039a83efc6f713f792

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →