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Frozen pre-match forecast · #68614

Goianésia VS Mineiros

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.52%
Draw
27.96%
Away
42.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4957
Log loss
0.8552

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
2c9b9ee6b44d3fe3297919f25ed28f9039c7362a4174f69087ee3c5e5a15a62e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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