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Frozen pre-match forecast · #68498

Vimenor VS Torina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.88%
Draw
26.38%
Away
26.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8333
Log loss
1.3326

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
038093faa1090325d1cdbb6b5f36861f0ebcec2627a74952bb15878d1b17414d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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