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Frozen pre-match forecast · #68420

Kallithea VS Asteras Tripolis II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.74%
Draw
26.10%
Away
17.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2848
Log loss
0.5668

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
3d6add6640911456463a7cd664a7b9fe19e8ee125dae16d9159aa8bd129a4230

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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