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Frozen pre-match forecast · #68384

Cádiz II VS Pozoblanco

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.47%
Draw
24.94%
Away
18.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0438
Log loss
1.6825

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
3e683841c27fd18f612a0692ba810454ae480e7aa97e0018efc674c124474fe8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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