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Frozen pre-match forecast · #68260

Sporting Trestina VS Termoli Calcio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.18%
Draw
29.93%
Away
41.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7809
Log loss
1.2666

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
fe0353a33051465221e23ec604d108a9e4b99583e9b2e2e2e8fa4c120d1d7053

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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