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Frozen pre-match forecast · #68218

Enna VS Licata

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.32%
Draw
27.29%
Away
34.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6517
Log loss
1.0672

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
f4aed8e5e58fcf86aec51710a52c6c3b022287ae873a0d7b3014165bb2a00c58

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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