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Frozen pre-match forecast · #67782

Quevilly VS Amiens

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.42%
Draw
28.39%
Away
40.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7731
Log loss
1.2592

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
e93460c5b217162a9545b33fed41e7a29295c0c149995bfc16076d0ff27438fb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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