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Frozen pre-match forecast · #67757

Mandel United VS Sporting Hasselt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.27%
Draw
27.12%
Away
41.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5124
Log loss
0.8770

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
099afc13c997bf4f87086d6d1e8a40f06d019020473399cc2ac19e0424b5a67c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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