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Frozen pre-match forecast · #67558

GKS Katowice W VS Legia W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.33%
Draw
16.40%
Away
16.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1601
Log loss
0.3956

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
8e84fed0324193ebfcc76bd52c1b3c34d2f937e76e6d1ec10dc68a152e40269e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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