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Frozen pre-match forecast · #67317

Nyva Ternopil II VS Podillya Khmelnytskyi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.03%
Draw
24.46%
Away
52.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3384
Log loss
0.6442

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
a44afc114bf2daec8a2993f78ac772d57e624f1cda8d959c0a24de9341a8e88d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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