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Frozen pre-match forecast · #67213

Neratovice-Byškovice VS Čáslav

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.91%
Draw
19.75%
Away
18.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0891
Log loss
1.6961

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
1a4a2510579aec670eb4d3ba2e22c91fda9e9c420245dab56ee43e7b0c706880

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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