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Frozen pre-match forecast · #66816

Ústí nad Labem II VS Újezd Praha 4

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.78%
Draw
19.67%
Away
59.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0431
Log loss
1.6261

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
37cb5ef1869d1cfdeac6d1c19d43f6694c6815610d988b70a0470d786884167b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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