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Frozen pre-match forecast · #6679

Torreense W VS Marítimo W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:38 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.83%
Draw
32.72%
Away
19.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

8 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4171
Log loss
0.7375

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:38 UTC
SHA-256
c6e1a8d394663dff7a9d35bd5ae83639f34f0f1a7b80a4b60826b86f8ec9ec1d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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