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Frozen pre-match forecast · #66703

Bangor City 1876 FC VS Buckley Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.64%
Draw
18.92%
Away
15.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 690-minute result
Brier score
1.1817
Log loss
1.8682

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
3e81d828fba721a02ec14800d5b5dcb711a968cf5daab9b13641b6597e46ffd4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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