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Frozen pre-match forecast · #66631

Baťov VS Nové Sady

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.28%
Draw
17.30%
Away
13.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 590-minute result
Brier score
1.2595
Log loss
2.0084

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
7debd81758e8541992a7ba678e447dbc1d7c8a0de4dc70656adf79e3dce893c1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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