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Frozen pre-match forecast · #66544

Racing Club VS Boca Juniors

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.20%
Draw
28.82%
Away
43.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4709
Log loss
0.8214

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
74d3ab7b6177167b2f2fd3c1232ece8023369085070452ac494bdc6904fc53b5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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