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Frozen pre-match forecast · #66471

Shaanxi Union VS Dalian Huayi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.40%
Draw
24.97%
Away
25.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3841
Log loss
0.7052

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
9ab341b8ffb40a997eb0faf3192b936d4db34c94429b9ad2fdb975270e5f32f0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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