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Frozen pre-match forecast · #66292

Nacional Potosí VS Always Ready

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.58%
Draw
23.41%
Away
29.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

9 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4137
Log loss
0.7427

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
1a983760f498de3ba3ee6e2afbc27c5a944ba01b64084266147c20bebf8dc77b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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