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Frozen pre-match forecast · #66267

Inter de Minas VS Nacional AC MG

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.55%
Draw
24.80%
Away
48.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3957
Log loss
0.7205

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
e5881699913478a3e8d02d47d497948523a5234fda1784d1a390a348b7a6a149

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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