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Frozen pre-match forecast · #66256

Karviná II VS Líšeň II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
15.59%
Draw
19.56%
Away
64.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0919
Log loss
1.6317

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
3c6bdd6070b8c2ca2540580b2e3c53dcf40b4c460fc4d74ec613e2d0a69ad690

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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