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Frozen pre-match forecast · #660

Anzio VS Monastir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.01%
Draw
33.55%
Away
41.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8466
Log loss
1.3859

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
0a1fc6d0a34ec55e0ac468c8bd35f3fc4b7a9cd860bb67151cba9dad8ec0642f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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