Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #65995

Jordan VS Syria

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.46%
Draw
24.56%
Away
46.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8709
Log loss
1.4042

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
41a4d5c082a9def9572a0f55e9b4294948a7847922711aeccc50385d77158cd5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →