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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65913

Rotselaar VS Rupel Boom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.63%
Draw
23.21%
Away
48.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7953
Log loss
1.2508

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
6c0997f0dcfc167b0bf8e7c4ab16737258d5fa85a5d0b66858200c11b6578c6d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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