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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65912

FC Wohlen VS Schötz

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.84%
Draw
23.91%
Away
40.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.5427
Log loss
0.9102

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
7f158c97854608a878dddd5dd030a77b6234aeacb63fdc6a5de1e3afeed43d21

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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