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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65791

Congo VS Cameroon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.20%
Draw
23.60%
Away
66.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0324
Log loss
1.4440

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
b17fc88c929ee0e9021c86cc0695795908e34465d3cb910c0575382a2eb89a7c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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