Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #6575

Langreo VS Praviano

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:36 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.11%
Draw
37.91%
Away
36.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8413
Log loss
1.3819

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:36 UTC
SHA-256
4bfdeb872d8473815ec4f5780b2fb1183ef00b913a5215185ffc292e937909a9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →