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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65741

Oman VS Kuwait

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.41%
Draw
26.94%
Away
25.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4149
Log loss
0.7463

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
c0c62cf546d680566a8daa4b523499792fec09c21946574b6768f23e64f1958c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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